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Exclusive: Morning Digest: Nebraska special for old seat will use new map in bizarre and undemocratic decision – TalkOfNews.com

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#Morning #Digest #Nebraska #special #seat #map #bizarre #undemocratic #decision

Election officials claim, however, that the “the old lines remain in place for purposes of representation,” Rakich reports. As a result, according to Daily Kos Elections’ calculations, the 75,000 people who live in the old 1st District but not the new version will not be able to vote for their own representative, while the 69,000 people who live in the new district but not the old one will get the chance to vote for someone who won’t represent them at all. That amounts to about 11% of each district, old and new, since Republicans made considerable changes to the map in order to gerrymander the swingy 2nd District to their benefit.

It’s an absurd situation, and almost certainly unconstitutional as well. It’s also unheard of, as every other special election that’s taken place this year—whether for Congress or state legislatures—has been held under old lines. Officials say the new districts “went into effect immediately” because the map was passed with an emergency clause, but that cannot trump the right to vote. And what if the new map had been renumbered or even more radically redrawn? Which new district would election administrators have chosen for the special?

With the race between Republican Mike Flood and Democrat Patty Pansing Brooks just days away, it’s unlikely that anyone will challenge this decision, even though any eligible voters among the tens of thousands of Nebraskans who were redistricted out of the old 1st District would have a ready-made case. Nonetheless, this is an extremely anti-democratic practice that deserves to be called out—and should never be repeated.

Senate

CO-Sen, CO-Gov: The Democratic firm Global Strategy Group, polling for the ProgressNow Colorado, finds that Sen. Michael Bennet and Gov. Jared Polis would start out well ahead of whomever the Republicans nominate next week. In the former contest, Bennet leads state Rep. Ron Hanks and wealthy businessman Joe O’Dea 50-37 and 49-36, respectively; Democratic outside groups have been spending heavily to help Hanks, a vocal proponent of the Big Lie who attended the Jan. 6 “Stop the Steal” rally that preceded the attack on the Capitol, under the assumption that he’d be an easier opponent to beat than O’Dea.

In the race for governor, Polis posts an identical 51-32 edge over both University of Colorado Regent Heidi Ganahl and businessman Greg Lopez, with far-right candidate Danielle Neuschwanger nabbing 5% both times as the nominee of the American Constitution Party. Democrats are also intervening to boost Lopez next week.

GA-Sen: Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock is airing an ad focusing on one of the many unflattering stories about Republican Herschel Walker’s business history. The spot shows multiple clips of Walker claiming that his company had “over 800 employees” before the narrator interjects that “official loan documents show Walker’s company has just eight employees.”

PA-Sen, PA-Gov: The AARP has released a joint survey from the Democratic firm Impact Research and the Republican pollster Fabrizio, Lee & Associates that shows Team Blue with a stronger lead in the Senate contest than in the race for governor, numbers that closely match what Suffolk University found last week. AARP’s Senate portion has Democrat John Fetterman beating Republican Mehmet Oz 50-44, a margin twice as large as Democrat Josh Shapiro’s 49-46 edge over QAnon ally Doug Mastriano for governor. Suffolk showed Fetterman and Shapiro ahead 46-37 and 44-40, respectively.

Both parties have long treated Mastriano as a truly weak candidate, and Shapiro even ran commercials designed to help him win the nod last month. However, AARP’s numbers give us an idea of why, contrary to the early conventional wisdom, Mastriano seems to be better situated than Oz right now: Mastriano posts a negative 37-44 favorable rating which, while still bad, is far better than the former TV personality’s atrocious 30-63 score. Perhaps the biggest reason for this divergence is that, while Oz had to go through a truly nasty and expensive primary, Mastriano’s intra-party critics never began focusing their negative commercials on him until it was too late. Shapiro and Fetterman, by contrast, are on positive territory at 47-34 and 46-36.

Shapiro, though, is now trying to drag Mastriano’s numbers into the land of Oz by launching his first negative ad of the general election. The minute-long spot attacks Mastriano over his opposition to abortion rights and same-sex marriage, climate change denial, and presence at the Jan. 6 riot. The narrator also notes that the Republican “says he could overturn future election results and let politicians hand pick the winners, ignoring the vote of the people.”

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Governors

IL-Gov: Fabrizio, Lee & Associates newest survey for state Sen. Darren Bailey’s allies at People Who Play by the Rules PAC shows him defeating venture capitalist Jesse Sullivan 37-17 in Tuesday’s Republican primary, with Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin slipping to third with just 14%. That would be a very gratifying result for the DGA, which NBC says is spending an additional $1.5 million on a very pricey ad campaign aimed at ensuring that Bailey, rather than Irvin, is Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s opponent this fall.

Irvin has received $50 million in donations from Ken Griffin, who is Illinois’ wealthiest man, but that spigot seems to have run dry because Politico reports that Sullivan and Bailey are both outspending the mayor in ads for the final week of the contest. Griffin also made news of a different kind Thursday when he announced that his hedge fund, Citadel, was moving its headquarters from Chicago to Miami.

Capitol Fax’s Rich Miller writes that unnamed sources say it’s no coincidence that Griffin made this declaration as more polls show Irvin in bad shape: Miller writes that “Griffin, who was already looking at leaving, decided to hang it up when he saw” another conservative megadonor, Bailey ally Dick Uihlein, “so willingly team up with Gov. Pritzker. The party, at that point, was just not worth saving.” (Uihlein also created and funds People Who Play by the Rules.)

MA-Gov: State Sen. Sonia Chang-Díaz announced Thursday that she was dropping out of the September Democratic primary, a move that leaves Attorney General Maura Healey as Team Blue’s only remaining contender in the contest to succeed retiring Republican Gov. Charlie Baker. Hours later, UMass Amherst publicized a YouGov survey that showed Healey beating the state senator 53-20, a finding that reinforced Chang-Díaz’s declaration that “there is no path that I can responsibly, in good faith, lead my supporters on that results in me becoming governor this year.” Chang-Díaz will remain on the ballot, though, as the deadline passed several weeks ago for her to withdraw.

Healey, along with Oregon Democrat Tina Kotek, would be the first lesbian to serve as governor of any state, but Healey had a far easier task than her West Coast counterpart even before Chang-Díaz dropped out. A different YouGov survey released earlier this week for UMass Lowell showed Healey easily beating each of the two Republican candidates, former state Rep. Geoff Diehl and businessman Chris Doughty, by margins of 61-30 and 58-30, respectively. (Kotek, by contrast, is locked in a very competitive three-way general election.)

A Healey victory would also give Democrats a pickup in a state where the electorate is fond of sending moderate-sounding Republicans to the governor’s office (Massachusetts is one of just five states that doesn’t provide its chief executive with an official residence) to balance out Team Blue’s control of most other major posts: Republicans have won six of the eight most recent gubernatorial elections, with Democrat Deval Patrick’s 2006 and 2010 wins (the latter against Baker) marking the only breaks in that streak. It’s possible that the self-funding Doughty, a self-described “pragmatic, common sense, businessman, fiscally conservative” candidate, could put up a fight if he makes it through the GOP primary against the Trump-endorsed Diehl, though those YouGov numbers indicate he’d still start deep in the hole.

Healey would additionally make history as the first woman elected governor of Massachusetts: Republican Jane Swift became acting governor in 2001 when Paul Cellucci left to become ambassador to Canada, but she didn’t run in the 2002 contest that Mitt Romney ultimately won. The Democrat is also on track to become one of the rare non-incumbents to win a governor’s race anywhere without having to beat any prominent opponents in either a primary or general election.

House

IL-14: Conservative radio host Mike Koolidge has earned an endorsement from 18th District Rep. Darin LaHood, who represents a downstate Illinois seat to the south of this Chicago-area constituency, days ahead of what’s been a pretty low-key Republican primary to take on Democratic incumbent Lauren Underwood.

Koolidge faces Kendall County Board Chair Scott Gryder, businessman Jack Lombardi, businesswoman Jaime Milton, and perennial candidate James Marter in a contest where no one has raised much money. Democratic map makers sought to protect Underwood by augmenting Biden’s margin of victory from 50-48 to 55-43 in this constituency in Chicago’s western exurbs, but it could still be in play in a red wave year.

NY-04: EMILY’s List has endorsed former Hempstead Supervisor Laura Gillen in the August Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Kathleen Rice, who backed Gillen herself in March.

Secretaries of State

MA-SoS: UMass Amherst has unveiled a survey from YouGov that shows longtime Secretary of State Bill Galvin leading by just 38-25 against Boston NAACP head Tanisha Sullivan in the September Democratic primary, which makes this the first poll we’ve seen of this matchup. The survey was released days after Sullivan received an endorsement from Boston-area Rep. Ayanna Pressley, the prominent progressive who represents what is by far the bluest of Massachusetts’ nine congressional districts.

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Prosecutors

Hennepin County, MN Attorney: Former Hennepin County Chief Public Defender Mary Moriarty has earned an endorsement from Attorney General Keith Ellison, who represented Minneapolis during his six terms in Congress, ahead of the August nonpartisan primary for this open seat.

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Exclusive: January 6th Documentary Film Producer Under Armed Protection Due To Trump Supporter Threats – TalkOfNews.com

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Alex Holder under armed protection

#January #6th #Documentary #Film #Producer #Armed #Protection #Due #Trump #Supporter #Threats

Alex Holder, the director of the documentary film “Unprecedented,” now needs armed guards to protect him.

As the stakes continue to rise with each Select Committee hearing and more and more jaw-dropping evidence of criminality hones in closer to Trump and his family, the danger to all involved increases. There are unhinged people in all segments of society. But the people threatened by these hearings are the same people who gathered up weapons to follow a man who assaulted his own Secret Service agents precisely because he demanded that he lead that armed insurgency. It feels as though violence has been authorized from the top and from the beginning.

We know that the film contains evidence the Committee deems critical. Now, that filmmaker, a man who make a film Trump authorized and then participated in, is in need of protection. According to The Daily Beast:

The documentary filmmaker who filmed with Donald Trump and his family in the months before and after the attack on the Capitol says he now needs armed protection.

Alex Holder, who testified to the House select committee investigating the Jan. 6 insurrection last week, spoke candidly about the risks his disclosures have put him in during a BBC TV interview Wednesday.

When asked if he felt threatened because of the evidence he’s given to the panel, Holder said: “Well, my life changed about a week ago and I now literally have two armed guards outside this studio right now that follow me around everywhere.”

It is only going to get worse until the evidence is out. Many people believe that Cassidy Hutchinson’s testimony was moved up specifically to lessen the threat to her. Now that her testimony is public record, threats won’t stop anything. They could be used as a warning to future witnesses.

The film provides direct evidence of Trump’s activities in the days leading up to January 6th but the fact that Holder needs protection now is also evidence that the Committee is getting very close to the truth and the truth is likely much worse than we guessed.

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Exclusive: Republicans Might Want to Run on the Truth – TalkOfNews.com

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Compelling Television

#Republicans #Run #Truth

Karl Rove: “The baseless claim that the 2020 election was stolen doesn’t appeal to independents, whose votes in key states are often decisive…”

“A big enough red tide could sweep some of these nominees into office. But if Republicans who don’t rail about election fraud consistently run better than those who do, it would suggest that emphasizing the ‘big steal’ may not be such a great argument for 2024.”

“For any GOP candidate, there’s no easy way to escape weighing in on whether 2020 was stolen. Democrats will force Republicans running for other offices to declare their position on these outlandish and corrosive claims. GOP hopefuls better begin preparing responses now. They should consider starting with the truth.”

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Exclusive: Florida judge rules state's 15-week abortion ban 'unconstitutional,' will move to block law – TalkOfNews.com

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A young girl holds a banner with the word "Justice" as abortion rights activists rally in Miami, Florida, after the overturning of Roe Vs. Wade by the Supreme Court on June 24, 2022. (Photo by CHANDAN KHANNA / AFP) (Photo by CHANDAN KHANNA/AFP via Getty Images)

#Florida #judge #rules #state039s #15week #abortion #ban #039unconstitutional039 #move #block #law

HB 5, which bans abortions after 15 weeks, will temporarily go into effect while the court prepares to block it. Planned Parenthood also plans to do what it can to block any stays the state of Florida seeks.

The Leon County Court in Florida has indicated it intends to block a law banning abortions after 15 weeks. Planned Parenthood’s case against the state was heard before Judge John C. Cooper earlier this week. The judge indicated he’d issue a ruling on Thursday and, true to his word, he made his decision. Cooper called HB 5 “unconstitutional,” saying it violates the “fundamental right to privacy,” which is laid out in Florida’s constitution. Per Section 23 of that document: “Every natural person has the right to be let alone and free from governmental intrusion into the person’s private life except as otherwise provided herein. This section shall not be construed to limit the public’s right of access to public records and meetings as provided by law.”

Cooper said the state failed to prove why HB 5 should take effect in the first place and is ready to sign an injunction against it. In the meantime, the law is expected to temporarily take effect. Planned Parenthood said it is seeking to make sure any stays sought by the state don’t go through. For now, this is great news for the organization, which called it “only a first step in fighting this dangerous abortion ban … We are grateful this court recognized that it is an unconstitutional intrusion on our patients’ and providers’ medical decisions,” Stephanie Fraim, president and CEO of Planned Parenthood of Southwest and Central Florida, said in a statement. “Once this ban is blocked, Florida abortion providers will be able to offer patients who decide to have an abortion the care they need here at home. Planned Parenthood of Southwest and Central Florida will continue to stand with all abortion providers and the patients who turn to them.”


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